Thank you very much. I too have been surprised by the unusual rush to condemn scientists, citizens and doctors who reported what they saw over the past three years and if it differed from models and the consensus.
Fantastic, thank you for this. I especially appreciate the section "how we could be wrong" - acknowledging and engaging with that possibility seems like a rare thing these days.
All I can say is thank you so much for your incredible work and I hope to god this does not somehow become silenced. I would do anything to help you spread this message and I hope this will be accepted somewhere that will let the message spread.
Humanity owes you a huge debt for your research & findings. We have to solve this conundrum for if we don’t then others may continue GoF experimentation and as Gates has already warned us SARS-CoV-2 is a dress rehearsal for what other more deadly deeds could come next.
Thank you for your reasoned arguments backing up your research and I truly hope that others will pick up the baton and take us conclusively across the line of scientific truth without any shred or open ended room for further debate
"A synthetic origin of SARS-CoV-2 doesn’t mean there was malicious intent."
Along those lines:
Root cause of COVID-19? Biotechnology's dirty secret: Contamination. Bioinformatics evidence demonstrates that SARS-CoV-2 was created in a laboratory, unlikely to be a bioweapon but most likely a result of sloppy experiments
Here’s a possible way to try to validate your analysis: You seem to have effectively build a classifier that takes a viral genetic sequence as input and classifies it as either natural or an infectious clone. It has two parts — part of the classifier could run on just a viral sequence, and the other part also needs sequences of earlier related viruses.
Could you attempt to validate your classifier by running it on a corpus of other viral sequences and seeing if it generates correct answers? Perhaps just coronaviruses, but other families of viruses could be interesting as well.
It would be interesting to see a similar analysis of the earliest Omicron variant genomes, since their emergence is profoundly mysterious, given their only known, non-lab, links to other SARS-CoV-2 variants go back to early 2020. I recall suggestions that these were a lab escape from research in South Africa. If so, perhaps there would be distinctive signs of such research in their genomes.
Whoever made the initial virus in the lab knows very well that the pandemic would not have occurred if either they had not done this research or if their containment methods were adequate. It is reasonable to assume the lab escape was in the Wuhan lab. I recall reading of reports of illness among some lab workers, and that this preceded the 2019-10-18 to 27 Military World Games which spread the disease within Wuhan and then to the countries of contestants: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11845-020-02484-0 .
No matter where the work was done, the lives of those involved and who are covering up their work would be in peril if their actions were to be revealed, due to their government (not just the Chinese government) being so hell-bent on suppressing this information, but also due to popular hatred and fear that the same researchers may cause another disaster.
So the actual experimenters and probably dozens or hundreds of people around them know exactly who did the work and when it escaped.
It could be argued that this work was the crime of the century, to date. However, here are some arguments as to why both the quasi-vaccine-centric pandemic response (at last in most developed countries) and the continuing cover-up are greater crimes.
The original lab-escape occurred with a strain of virus which resulted from what was - and probably still is (such as the recent 80% kill Boston variant) standard procedure in many virus research labs. As such, the particular actions of these researchers were unremarkable - probably dozens to hundreds of teams all around the world have been, and probably still are, creating chimeric viruses. I can understand the scientific value making such chimeric viruses, and I can imagine major difficulties in virus research if all such activities were banned outright.
In terms of culpability, creating the chimeric variant is arguably very low, since so many well-respected researchers were doing the same thing all over the world. One could argue, with hindsight, that the researchers were highly culpable because their containment methods failed. However, to what extent were their containment methods significantly less likely to fail than those used in other labs?
While it is difficult to separate virus research from research into bioweapons, since any research into improving immunity can also be weaponized by aggressive nations by applying this to their population, at present I don't know any convincing arguments that the research was driven partly or entirely for the purpose of biological warfare. If it was, then the researchers' culpability is extraordinarily high.
In terms of outcome, it is easy to argue that the effects of the research and lab escape were monumentally harmful, and so culpability of the researchers should be assigned accordingly, with some consideration as to how much they should have anticipated such an outcome.
However, I argue that the pandemic response itself has been a far greater crime in two dimensions. Firstly in terms of the egregious and at times sociopathic neglect of and/or hostility to the real needs of the public, and secondly in terms of the severity of the outcome. These are massive subjects, but the harm caused by social distancing, lockdowns, masking, quasi-vaccines, vaccine mandates, censorship of discussion, especially by medical professionals, and the resulting distrust of medical professionals, politicians and law enforcement have arguably caused more harm than the virus itself. A particularly harmful and inexcusably reckless or deliberate aspect of the mainstream pandemic response was - and still is - the suppression, demonization and banning of all forms of early treatment, with the obvious purpose of corralling the public into accepting the quasi-vaccines, at least until the multinational pharmaceutical companies devised their own, extremely expensive, and not very useful, early treatments. Even if one did not know about vitamin D, this banning of early treatments on such a scale is arguably the real crime of the century to date.
The continuing coverup of the origins of the virus is a strong contender for the crime of the century to date. This and other research shows there is such a coverup, by dozens or hundreds of people and the organisations and governments for whom they work.
By deliberately preventing humanity from understanding the origins of this great disaster, those covering their actions contribute to fear, lack of action to prevent a recurrence, and to distrust of authorities, as well as to thwarting everyone's reasonable desires for a clear, scientific understanding of what happened, and for those responsible to be held accountable.
I believe that part of this cover-up extends to the whole field of virology. Collectively, virologists should have known, from early 2020 - and should all know now - that this pandemic occurred due to the work of virologists. Why then has there been inadequate steps to research the origins of SARS-CoV-2 and to identify those who were responsible? Why has there so far been no prominent, global, discussion and action taken by virologists and regulators to ban, or reliably safeguard, whatever research techniques resemble the actual work which resulted in this release?
I fear we are rapidly entering an age of more and more numerous and more serious breaches of trust and responsibility by whole professions and by governments regarding freedom of speech, scientific rigour, determination of responsibility and concerted regulatory action to prevent a recurrence. For instance, what if the Boston variant was highly virulent and transmissible in humans and/or other animals AND it happened to escape confinement?
Further to my questions in a previous comment, here are some observations which are of the utmost significance concerning the initial spread of the lab-escaped initial SARS-CoV-2 variant and for ongoing attempts to prevent its spread and to treat people who are infected with it.
This is a terse summary of some key points of the most pertinent research concerning vitamin D and the immune system. For an approachable (but very extensive) presentation of these research articles, with easily followable links etc. please see: https://vitamindstopscovid.info/00-evi/ . Some of this research is cited and discussed by Prof. Sunil Wimalawansa in his recent Nutrients article "Rapidly Increasing Serum 25(OH)D Boosts the Immune System, against Infections - Sepsis and COVID-19": https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6643/14/14/2997 .
Please see the graph from Quraishi et al. 2014: https://vitamindstopscovid.info/00-evi/#00-quraishi depicting drastic increases in the risk of post-operative infections which result from circulating (in the bloodstream plasma) 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels, the more those levels are below 50 ng/mL 125 nmol/L (one part in 20,000,000 by mass).
This shows extreme weakening of innate and adaptive immune responses to the primarily bacterial pathogens which cause these infections. Much the same mechanisms tackle fungal and viral pathogens and protect the body from cancer.
Note carefully my artist's impression lump of dots on the lower left which depict the distribution of the population who do not properly supplement vitamin D3 cholecalciferol (which the liver converts to 25-hydroxyvitamin D) and who have not recently had a lot of ultraviolet B skin exposure where (at least in white skin) significant amounts of vitamin D can be synthesised from 7-dehydrocholesterol.
Typical population levels of 18 ng/mL circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D results in about 25% chance of post-operative surgical site infection and 25% chance of hospital acquired infection, while for those with 50 ng/mL or more, the risk, for each type of infection, is about 2.5%. This shows, directly, how innate and adaptive immune responses are weakened by inadequate levels of circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D. (The surveyed patients were all suffering from morbid obesity, but I know of no reason why their immune system needs more 25-hydroxyvitamin D than those of people who are not suffering from obesity.)
Chauss et al. 2021: https://vitamindstopscovid.info/00-evi/#chauss showed that Th1 regulatory lymphocytes from the lungs of hospitalised COVID-19 patients remained stuck indefinitely in their pro-inflammatory program, when they should have detected a signal which switches each Th1 cell to being anti-inflammatory. This failure is presumably one of the reasons - probably a crucial reason - why these people developed severe COVID-19 in their lungs. The researchers found that sole or primary reason for this failure was that the Th1 cells lacked sufficient 25-hydroxvyvitamin D to supply their vitamin D based intracrine (inside each cell) signaling systems. The cell relies on this system to effect the gene transcription changes which switch it to being anti-inflammatory, in response to the signal (a high level of a complement protein) which the cells do reliably detect.
Another crucial reason these people had severe COVID-19 would be that their immune systems did not quickly suppress the infection. This would be due, in large part, to them having much lower levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D than the 50 ng/mL their immune system needs to work properly. This relationship between low 25-hydroxyvitamin D and severe COVID-19 has been observed in multiple research studies: https://vitamindstopscovid.info/00-evi/#4.4 . It is a scandal and a crime against humanity that immunologists, the mainstream medical profession and the mainstream media have not made everyone in the world fully aware of this, and so for the need for proper vitamin D3 supplementation for almost all people, all year round, from birth, to reduce the incidence of sepsis, influenza, COVID-19 etc. cancer and numerous auto-immune inflammatory disorders.
See the Israel et al. 2020 graph at: https://vitamindstopscovid.info/00-evi/#03-uk-low . Though Israel is sunny, the median 25-hydroxyvitamn D level for Arab (primarily Islamic, and so covered in clothes whenever out of the house) women is about 10 ng/mL - 1/5th of what their immune systems need to mount strong innate and adaptive responses and to reduce the risk of self-destructive inflammatory responses.
Now consider (in the same section just linked to) the terribly low 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels of the UK population, all year round, especially in winter, and the disastrously low levels of those with African and East Asian ancestry - and so dark or black skin and/or sun avoidant lifestyles, far, far, from the equator.
Please now see the graphs I put together - second diagram at: https://vitamindstopscovid.info/00-evi/#4.2 - which depict mean 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels in the UK for white and non-white men and women, and how in the summer of 2020, the incidence of the early (only a few mutations from the lab-escape version) SARS-CoV-2 strain was dropping rapidly, halving every few weeks, with only 785 known cases in early September. If nothing had changed, the virus would have disappeared, or at least never again attained pandemic levels of transmission. This was before the COVID-19 quasi-vaccines - and in that summer, there was little or nothing in the way of masks, lockdowns etc.
Two things changed. Firstly, 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels dropped. Secondly, the Alpha variant (then known as the UK or Kent variant) emerged, which was more transmissible. Consequently the infection rate grew - to much higher than this graph shows.
The UK mid-2020 variant had evolved from the lab-escape variant in Wuhan to become somewhat more transmissible. Its transmission was drastically attenuated (once the most susceptible == low 25-hydroxyvitamin D) people in the UK were infected around April 2020 AND general population 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels rose to their annual peak around August.
As best we know (not counting the few percent of the population who supplement vitamin D3 properly) that peak was still only about 25 ng/mL for whites and about 13 ng/mL for non-whites.
Clearly, then, if everyone in the UK had had 50 ng/mL 125 nmol/L 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels than the original variant would have died out much faster. It is reasonable to expect that this level would prevent pandemic transmission levels of Alpha, and probably of all subsequent variants.
Most people assume that the lab-escaped initial SARS-CoV-2 variant naturally spread in Wuhan, and would have spread in almost any other location. Given the observations I just highlighted, I think it is reasonable to assume that that variant would never have spread at all if all those people who were exposed to it had 50 ng/mL 25-hydroxyvitamin D.
For most people to attain at least this level of 25-hydroxyvitamin D, after several months, for 70 kg bodyweight without obesity, it is necessary to ingest about 0.125 milligrams of vitamin D3 cholecalciferol a day on average. I am 70 kg and take 1.25 mg a week. Up to a week or 10 days between intakes is fine. 0.125 mg a day is a gram every 22 years, and pharma grade vitamin D3 costs about USD$2.50 a gram ex-factory. 0.125 mg is also known in cranky old units as the scarily high number of "5000 IU", which is about 6 to 12 times what many doctors think is adequate. See: https://vitamindstopscovid.info/00-evi/index.html#sjw-updated-ratios for a table summarising Prof. Wimalawansa's recommended daily intakes, as ratios of body weight.
Before you start discussing the "Origins" of Sars-CoV-2, may want to FIRST demonstrate that it exists.
If I could only share ONE source it would be Christine Massey. Because her work is the nexus between the theoretical/logical work of Kaufman, Lanka, Cowan, Bailey(s), Rapporport, etc, ... and the Legal/Lawful world of the attorneys (RFK, Jr, Fuellmich, Siri, Renz, etc) and the courts.
This documents how the CDC never had the virus, Corman/Drosten didn't have the virus, Moderna Didn't have the virus... Over 200+ institutions from 40 nations can't find the virus, nor can they find one published paper showing that the virus exists:
Thank you for writing so clearly for those of us who don’t understand these details. I am a physician and you have provided the first thorough and understandable explanation of how this all might have happened. I am very grateful for your openness and clarion call to the scientific community
Thank you for your refreshing honesty, transparency and breaking this down in layman's terms.
Thank you very much. I too have been surprised by the unusual rush to condemn scientists, citizens and doctors who reported what they saw over the past three years and if it differed from models and the consensus.
Fantastic, thank you for this. I especially appreciate the section "how we could be wrong" - acknowledging and engaging with that possibility seems like a rare thing these days.
All I can say is thank you so much for your incredible work and I hope to god this does not somehow become silenced. I would do anything to help you spread this message and I hope this will be accepted somewhere that will let the message spread.
Humanity owes you a huge debt for your research & findings. We have to solve this conundrum for if we don’t then others may continue GoF experimentation and as Gates has already warned us SARS-CoV-2 is a dress rehearsal for what other more deadly deeds could come next.
Thank you for your reasoned arguments backing up your research and I truly hope that others will pick up the baton and take us conclusively across the line of scientific truth without any shred or open ended room for further debate
"A synthetic origin of SARS-CoV-2 doesn’t mean there was malicious intent."
No, but perhaps the reaction of the tptb to your work might...
Very well written & informative.
"A synthetic origin of SARS-CoV-2 doesn’t mean there was malicious intent."
Along those lines:
Root cause of COVID-19? Biotechnology's dirty secret: Contamination. Bioinformatics evidence demonstrates that SARS-CoV-2 was created in a laboratory, unlikely to be a bioweapon but most likely a result of sloppy experiments
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3766462
Here’s a possible way to try to validate your analysis: You seem to have effectively build a classifier that takes a viral genetic sequence as input and classifies it as either natural or an infectious clone. It has two parts — part of the classifier could run on just a viral sequence, and the other part also needs sequences of earlier related viruses.
Could you attempt to validate your classifier by running it on a corpus of other viral sequences and seeing if it generates correct answers? Perhaps just coronaviruses, but other families of viruses could be interesting as well.
It would be interesting to see a similar analysis of the earliest Omicron variant genomes, since their emergence is profoundly mysterious, given their only known, non-lab, links to other SARS-CoV-2 variants go back to early 2020. I recall suggestions that these were a lab escape from research in South Africa. If so, perhaps there would be distinctive signs of such research in their genomes.
Whoever made the initial virus in the lab knows very well that the pandemic would not have occurred if either they had not done this research or if their containment methods were adequate. It is reasonable to assume the lab escape was in the Wuhan lab. I recall reading of reports of illness among some lab workers, and that this preceded the 2019-10-18 to 27 Military World Games which spread the disease within Wuhan and then to the countries of contestants: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11845-020-02484-0 .
No matter where the work was done, the lives of those involved and who are covering up their work would be in peril if their actions were to be revealed, due to their government (not just the Chinese government) being so hell-bent on suppressing this information, but also due to popular hatred and fear that the same researchers may cause another disaster.
So the actual experimenters and probably dozens or hundreds of people around them know exactly who did the work and when it escaped.
It could be argued that this work was the crime of the century, to date. However, here are some arguments as to why both the quasi-vaccine-centric pandemic response (at last in most developed countries) and the continuing cover-up are greater crimes.
The original lab-escape occurred with a strain of virus which resulted from what was - and probably still is (such as the recent 80% kill Boston variant) standard procedure in many virus research labs. As such, the particular actions of these researchers were unremarkable - probably dozens to hundreds of teams all around the world have been, and probably still are, creating chimeric viruses. I can understand the scientific value making such chimeric viruses, and I can imagine major difficulties in virus research if all such activities were banned outright.
In terms of culpability, creating the chimeric variant is arguably very low, since so many well-respected researchers were doing the same thing all over the world. One could argue, with hindsight, that the researchers were highly culpable because their containment methods failed. However, to what extent were their containment methods significantly less likely to fail than those used in other labs?
While it is difficult to separate virus research from research into bioweapons, since any research into improving immunity can also be weaponized by aggressive nations by applying this to their population, at present I don't know any convincing arguments that the research was driven partly or entirely for the purpose of biological warfare. If it was, then the researchers' culpability is extraordinarily high.
In terms of outcome, it is easy to argue that the effects of the research and lab escape were monumentally harmful, and so culpability of the researchers should be assigned accordingly, with some consideration as to how much they should have anticipated such an outcome.
However, I argue that the pandemic response itself has been a far greater crime in two dimensions. Firstly in terms of the egregious and at times sociopathic neglect of and/or hostility to the real needs of the public, and secondly in terms of the severity of the outcome. These are massive subjects, but the harm caused by social distancing, lockdowns, masking, quasi-vaccines, vaccine mandates, censorship of discussion, especially by medical professionals, and the resulting distrust of medical professionals, politicians and law enforcement have arguably caused more harm than the virus itself. A particularly harmful and inexcusably reckless or deliberate aspect of the mainstream pandemic response was - and still is - the suppression, demonization and banning of all forms of early treatment, with the obvious purpose of corralling the public into accepting the quasi-vaccines, at least until the multinational pharmaceutical companies devised their own, extremely expensive, and not very useful, early treatments. Even if one did not know about vitamin D, this banning of early treatments on such a scale is arguably the real crime of the century to date.
The continuing coverup of the origins of the virus is a strong contender for the crime of the century to date. This and other research shows there is such a coverup, by dozens or hundreds of people and the organisations and governments for whom they work.
By deliberately preventing humanity from understanding the origins of this great disaster, those covering their actions contribute to fear, lack of action to prevent a recurrence, and to distrust of authorities, as well as to thwarting everyone's reasonable desires for a clear, scientific understanding of what happened, and for those responsible to be held accountable.
I believe that part of this cover-up extends to the whole field of virology. Collectively, virologists should have known, from early 2020 - and should all know now - that this pandemic occurred due to the work of virologists. Why then has there been inadequate steps to research the origins of SARS-CoV-2 and to identify those who were responsible? Why has there so far been no prominent, global, discussion and action taken by virologists and regulators to ban, or reliably safeguard, whatever research techniques resemble the actual work which resulted in this release?
I fear we are rapidly entering an age of more and more numerous and more serious breaches of trust and responsibility by whole professions and by governments regarding freedom of speech, scientific rigour, determination of responsibility and concerted regulatory action to prevent a recurrence. For instance, what if the Boston variant was highly virulent and transmissible in humans and/or other animals AND it happened to escape confinement?
How frikkin' wonderful that you have a Substack! And thank you for this breakdown. Jess
Feel free to criticize mine: https://jessicar.substack.com/p/phenotypic-mixing-tropism-enhancement
By the way, it's a bit of a scattered write-up, admittedly. The joy of Substack. :)
Further to my questions in a previous comment, here are some observations which are of the utmost significance concerning the initial spread of the lab-escaped initial SARS-CoV-2 variant and for ongoing attempts to prevent its spread and to treat people who are infected with it.
This is a terse summary of some key points of the most pertinent research concerning vitamin D and the immune system. For an approachable (but very extensive) presentation of these research articles, with easily followable links etc. please see: https://vitamindstopscovid.info/00-evi/ . Some of this research is cited and discussed by Prof. Sunil Wimalawansa in his recent Nutrients article "Rapidly Increasing Serum 25(OH)D Boosts the Immune System, against Infections - Sepsis and COVID-19": https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6643/14/14/2997 .
Please see the graph from Quraishi et al. 2014: https://vitamindstopscovid.info/00-evi/#00-quraishi depicting drastic increases in the risk of post-operative infections which result from circulating (in the bloodstream plasma) 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels, the more those levels are below 50 ng/mL 125 nmol/L (one part in 20,000,000 by mass).
This shows extreme weakening of innate and adaptive immune responses to the primarily bacterial pathogens which cause these infections. Much the same mechanisms tackle fungal and viral pathogens and protect the body from cancer.
Note carefully my artist's impression lump of dots on the lower left which depict the distribution of the population who do not properly supplement vitamin D3 cholecalciferol (which the liver converts to 25-hydroxyvitamin D) and who have not recently had a lot of ultraviolet B skin exposure where (at least in white skin) significant amounts of vitamin D can be synthesised from 7-dehydrocholesterol.
Typical population levels of 18 ng/mL circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D results in about 25% chance of post-operative surgical site infection and 25% chance of hospital acquired infection, while for those with 50 ng/mL or more, the risk, for each type of infection, is about 2.5%. This shows, directly, how innate and adaptive immune responses are weakened by inadequate levels of circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D. (The surveyed patients were all suffering from morbid obesity, but I know of no reason why their immune system needs more 25-hydroxyvitamin D than those of people who are not suffering from obesity.)
Chauss et al. 2021: https://vitamindstopscovid.info/00-evi/#chauss showed that Th1 regulatory lymphocytes from the lungs of hospitalised COVID-19 patients remained stuck indefinitely in their pro-inflammatory program, when they should have detected a signal which switches each Th1 cell to being anti-inflammatory. This failure is presumably one of the reasons - probably a crucial reason - why these people developed severe COVID-19 in their lungs. The researchers found that sole or primary reason for this failure was that the Th1 cells lacked sufficient 25-hydroxvyvitamin D to supply their vitamin D based intracrine (inside each cell) signaling systems. The cell relies on this system to effect the gene transcription changes which switch it to being anti-inflammatory, in response to the signal (a high level of a complement protein) which the cells do reliably detect.
Another crucial reason these people had severe COVID-19 would be that their immune systems did not quickly suppress the infection. This would be due, in large part, to them having much lower levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D than the 50 ng/mL their immune system needs to work properly. This relationship between low 25-hydroxyvitamin D and severe COVID-19 has been observed in multiple research studies: https://vitamindstopscovid.info/00-evi/#4.4 . It is a scandal and a crime against humanity that immunologists, the mainstream medical profession and the mainstream media have not made everyone in the world fully aware of this, and so for the need for proper vitamin D3 supplementation for almost all people, all year round, from birth, to reduce the incidence of sepsis, influenza, COVID-19 etc. cancer and numerous auto-immune inflammatory disorders.
See the Israel et al. 2020 graph at: https://vitamindstopscovid.info/00-evi/#03-uk-low . Though Israel is sunny, the median 25-hydroxyvitamn D level for Arab (primarily Islamic, and so covered in clothes whenever out of the house) women is about 10 ng/mL - 1/5th of what their immune systems need to mount strong innate and adaptive responses and to reduce the risk of self-destructive inflammatory responses.
Now consider (in the same section just linked to) the terribly low 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels of the UK population, all year round, especially in winter, and the disastrously low levels of those with African and East Asian ancestry - and so dark or black skin and/or sun avoidant lifestyles, far, far, from the equator.
Please now see the graphs I put together - second diagram at: https://vitamindstopscovid.info/00-evi/#4.2 - which depict mean 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels in the UK for white and non-white men and women, and how in the summer of 2020, the incidence of the early (only a few mutations from the lab-escape version) SARS-CoV-2 strain was dropping rapidly, halving every few weeks, with only 785 known cases in early September. If nothing had changed, the virus would have disappeared, or at least never again attained pandemic levels of transmission. This was before the COVID-19 quasi-vaccines - and in that summer, there was little or nothing in the way of masks, lockdowns etc.
Two things changed. Firstly, 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels dropped. Secondly, the Alpha variant (then known as the UK or Kent variant) emerged, which was more transmissible. Consequently the infection rate grew - to much higher than this graph shows.
The UK mid-2020 variant had evolved from the lab-escape variant in Wuhan to become somewhat more transmissible. Its transmission was drastically attenuated (once the most susceptible == low 25-hydroxyvitamin D) people in the UK were infected around April 2020 AND general population 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels rose to their annual peak around August.
As best we know (not counting the few percent of the population who supplement vitamin D3 properly) that peak was still only about 25 ng/mL for whites and about 13 ng/mL for non-whites.
Clearly, then, if everyone in the UK had had 50 ng/mL 125 nmol/L 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels than the original variant would have died out much faster. It is reasonable to expect that this level would prevent pandemic transmission levels of Alpha, and probably of all subsequent variants.
Most people assume that the lab-escaped initial SARS-CoV-2 variant naturally spread in Wuhan, and would have spread in almost any other location. Given the observations I just highlighted, I think it is reasonable to assume that that variant would never have spread at all if all those people who were exposed to it had 50 ng/mL 25-hydroxyvitamin D.
For most people to attain at least this level of 25-hydroxyvitamin D, after several months, for 70 kg bodyweight without obesity, it is necessary to ingest about 0.125 milligrams of vitamin D3 cholecalciferol a day on average. I am 70 kg and take 1.25 mg a week. Up to a week or 10 days between intakes is fine. 0.125 mg a day is a gram every 22 years, and pharma grade vitamin D3 costs about USD$2.50 a gram ex-factory. 0.125 mg is also known in cranky old units as the scarily high number of "5000 IU", which is about 6 to 12 times what many doctors think is adequate. See: https://vitamindstopscovid.info/00-evi/index.html#sjw-updated-ratios for a table summarising Prof. Wimalawansa's recommended daily intakes, as ratios of body weight.
In clinical emergencies such as sepsis and COVID-19, to boost 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels in 4 hours, rather than 4 months, safely over 50 ng/mL, see: https://nutritionmatters.substack.com/p/calcifediol-to-boost-25-hydroxyvitamin .
Typo: "Viola" should be "Voilà"
OMG, what a steaming pile of dreck.
Before you start discussing the "Origins" of Sars-CoV-2, may want to FIRST demonstrate that it exists.
If I could only share ONE source it would be Christine Massey. Because her work is the nexus between the theoretical/logical work of Kaufman, Lanka, Cowan, Bailey(s), Rapporport, etc, ... and the Legal/Lawful world of the attorneys (RFK, Jr, Fuellmich, Siri, Renz, etc) and the courts.
http://TinyURL.com/NoRecordFound
This documents how the CDC never had the virus, Corman/Drosten didn't have the virus, Moderna Didn't have the virus... Over 200+ institutions from 40 nations can't find the virus, nor can they find one published paper showing that the virus exists:
https://apocalypticyoga.substack.com/p/christine-massey-200
NOBODY HAS THE VIRUS!!!
FWIW - Suppressors, also known as silencers are legal and quite popular.
Thank you for writing so clearly for those of us who don’t understand these details. I am a physician and you have provided the first thorough and understandable explanation of how this all might have happened. I am very grateful for your openness and clarion call to the scientific community